Our eLearning Forum session dealt with what's coming in the next 12 months. Internet Time Group has just completed a report on what's coming in the next five years. We foresee an era of solutions targetted at vertical markets in 2002-2003. Following that comes an era where competency management becomes real. From 2005 onward, dynamic flows of strategic eKnowledge will take center stage.

For more information about our scenarios, please visit the Beyond eLearning pages at Internet Time Group.

eLEARNING—A REVOLUTION STILL PENDING

The State of the Industry

What does eLearning amount to today?

Signs of stuck-ness, and signs of change

Signpost to the future

The lessons of the past

Four Innovations to Look Out For

Total, tailored solutions targeted at specific markets

The performance-improvement process cycle

Competency as a critical success factor

Knowledge as a strategic asset

How to Bring eLearning into Your Organization

Best practices

Marketing eLearning

From a business perspective, it's important not to be doctrinaire with definitions. We define eLearning loosely as whatever it takes to help employees learn and their organizations prosper.

THE DNA OF CORPORATE eLEARNING

1990-1999: the Era of Custom CBT

1994-1999: The Dawn of Economic Sense in Packaged CBT

1997-1999: The Rise of the Learning Management System

1999: Everyone Moves to the Web, or At Least Wants To

Mid 1999 to Mid 2000: The Internet Land Grab Is On

Early 2000 to Present: The Practicality of Closed Content-and-Technology Training Systems

2000 to Mid 2001: Do-It-In-House eLearning Is the Only Way to Get It Right, and LMS Infrastructure Is King

Latter Half of 2001: eLearning Vendors Won’t Fool Us Again

Current (Early 2002): Gestures at Sustaining eLearning as a Process

The art and science of blended learning

A new approach to course authoring: Learning content management

The many hats of Web collaboration

The return to real learning (and fun!) in simulations, games, video, and storytelling

Knowledge-sharing networks of experts

Self-service knowledge from unstructured sources

Conclusion: Sustaining learning as a career

TARGETED TOTAL SOLUTIONS

The Major Trend of 2002 and 2003

Trend toward total, tailored eLearning for target markets

Self-consistent dynamics of vertical and functional industries

Learning as a sustainable process, not a collection of events

How eLearning is targeted and tailored

How customer focus on their business and professional skills takes control

Prediction for 2002–2003

Scope of a Total Solution

Technology platform

Content solutions

Services

Target Markets

The trend already in evidence

The eLearning opportunity in vertical markets

Who’s who in vertical markets—and where no one is playing (yet)

A Look at How Content Is Targeted to Markets

Variable forms of learning content between vertical markets

Examples in several vertical markets

Repurposing learning content between vertical markets

The Likelihood of a Value Chain

COMPETENCY OPTIMIZATION       

Two, Intertwined Major Trends of 2003 and 2004

Setting the stage: Sizable vendors and sizable markets

eLearning reborn as a strategy to achieve business outcomes

The trend toward the performance-improvement process cycle

The trend toward competency management

The process of competency optimization

The integration of all performance management

Aligning competence with business performance

Two predictions for 2003–2004

Optimizing Competence as a Critical Success Factor

Full modeling of competency

Domains of workforce competence

Opportunity differentiating expert from actual competency

Making competency modeling practical

Equation of competence with business performance

Business management through “competency passports”

The Performance-Improvement Process Cycle

Decision making and planning

Content modeling and personalization—a re-consideration for LCMSs and LMSs

eLearning performance analytics

Human Capital Value

STRATEGIC eKNOWLEDGE

The Major Trend of 2005 and Beyond

The trend toward knowledge as a strategic asset

The challenges faced by “knowledge technology”

The evolution and limits of learning content management

Translating eLearning expense into eKnowledge value

Portable content

A perspective on this trend: How the valuable result of eLearning recommends an intense reinvestment in its cause

Prediction for 2005 and beyond

Standards and Learning Objects

SCORM

The building-block definition of learning objects

How eKnowledge Will Work

The dynamic creation and publishing system for eKnowledge

The abstract architecture of eKnowledge

The Nth Power of eKnowledge

Magic ability of eKnowledge to manifest Human Capital Value

Knowledge flow: self-determining, self-organizing, free-moving, multi-purpose